Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 26

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Funder S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.4	3.45	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.67
	2.46	3.47	2.7
	2.41	3.51	2.71	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.09)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	2.7 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
38.3%

Draw
27.1%

HB Køge
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

24.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roskilde's form might have worsened.

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Roskilde - HB Køge Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Roskilde will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Køge will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roskilde (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Køge (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Roskilde (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Køge (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schram F. (G) 26. Lysholm M. 14. Nyegaard K. 4. Skolnik O. 2. Juhl M. 18. Maarup A. 6. Halse N. (C) 3. Jensen Juul O. 10. Arabaci R. 11. Baskaya S. 27. Faester A.	1. Bayrak B. (G) 3. Larsen S. 16. Hald S. 4. Bonnesen H. 21. Jakobsen N. 10. Jensen Tue C. 7. Jensen M. 6. Chacon M. 5. Culhaci G. 11. Al Naser M. 20. Gothler A.
Substitutes
25. Engqvist F. 34. Halsgaard A. 33. Hamade Z. 22. Heerfordt K. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 24. Svensson V. 9. Uhd M. 12. Vesterbaek N.	17. Alkhoudari B. 32. Khatar O. 28. Larsen G. 24. Lawrence J. 31. Rasmussen M. 33. Salah M. 29. Sommergaard N. (G) 8. Sorensen M. 14. Sorensen V.
Coaches
Johannsen K.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Jensen Juul O. ⚽, Maarup A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Baskaya S. ↓, Uhd M. ↑,
64', Chacon M. ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
64', Culhaci G. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
67', Arabaci R. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
67', Halse N. ↓, Halsgaard A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Al Naser M. ⚽,
80', Gothler A. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
84', Juhl M. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
87', Al Naser M. ↓, Sorensen M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 23:37 (average 1.2:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
12.04.25	Vendsyssel - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Roskilde - B.93 Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Hobro - Roskilde	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	HB Køge - Roskilde	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Roskilde - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTLW
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
13.04.25	HB Køge - Hillerød	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	HB Køge - Vendsyssel	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	HB Køge - Roskilde	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
14.03.25	HB Køge - Roskilde	2:1
29.09.24	Roskilde - HB Køge	0:2
Club Friendly
15.07.23	HB Køge - Roskilde	0:1
Danish 1 Division
14.06.20	Roskilde - HB Køge	2:2
20.10.19	HB Køge - Roskilde	2:1
21.08.19	Roskilde - HB Køge	2:3
25.05.19	HB Køge - Roskilde	3:1

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