Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 15

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Wuppertal

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.1	1.55
	4.5	4.5	1.57
	4.99	4.55	1.58
	4.91	4.53	1.58
	5	4.75	1.4
	4.75	4.4	1.56
	4.5	4.3	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (7.75)	4.45 ↓ (5)	1.55 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
19.5%

Draw
20.8%

Wuppertal
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

17.4%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rot-Weiß Ahlen's performance.

Wuppertal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuppertal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Ahlen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuppertal than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuppertal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Wuppertal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 1.

Ahlen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wuppertal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wuppertal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wuppertal is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
04.11.23	Düren - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bocholt	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	1:4 ✺
13.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLLL
- Wuppertaler SV
German Regionalliga West
04.11.23	Wuppertal - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Wuppertal	2:3 ✺
20.10.23	Gütersloh - Wuppertal	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Wuppertal	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Wuppertal - Lippstadt 08	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
14.02.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wuppertal	2:2
23.07.22	Wuppertal - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:2
18.12.21	Wuppertal - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	4:2
21.08.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wuppertal	0:0
16.01.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wuppertal	0:1
05.09.20	Wuppertal - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:0
25.02.17	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wuppertal	1:4

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