Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 12

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.1	1.49
	5	4.33	1.52
	5.2	4.47	1.56
	5.13	4.47	1.56
	5.4	4.33	1.51
	5	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↓ (6.24)	4.32 ↓ (5)	1.53 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
18.2%

Draw
21.4%

Alemannia Aachen
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

17.7%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alemannia Aachen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alemannia Aachen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 2.

Ahlen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aachen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aachen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
13.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:4 ✺
30.09.23	Gütersloh - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Lippstadt 08 - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
14.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	4:1 ✺
06.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
18.02.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	1:0
26.08.22	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:0
27.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
23.10.21	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:4
23.01.21	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	0:0
12.09.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	0:1
15.04.17	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	1:1

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