Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Velbert

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.65	2.3
	2.45	3.74	2.52
	2.47	3.64	2.53
	2.38	3.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.2)	3.66 ↑ (3.64)	2.48 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
37.6%

Draw
25.2%

Velbert
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rot-Weiß Ahlen's performance.

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Velbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Ahlen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ahlen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Velbert is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
25.08.23	Wiedenbrück - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Köln II	0:5 ✺
29.07.23	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLL
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
25.08.23	Velbert - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.23	Velbert - Duisburg	0:5 ✺
German Regionalliga West
04.08.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Velbert	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Velbert - Lippstadt 08	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
03.04.16	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:3
18.10.15	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Velbert	1:2

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