Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Niedersachsen - Round 17

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday


	Rotenburger		Bersenbrück

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.4
	6.71	5.43	1.34
	5.79	5.04	1.43
	5.8	4.5	1.36
	5.8	4.67	1.44
	6	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↑ (3.03)	4.86 ↑ (3.86)	1.4 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotenburger
15.3%

Draw
18.9%

Bersenbrück
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

23.4%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotenburger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotenburger's form might have worsened.

Bersenbrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bersenbrück's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotenburger than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotenburger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bersenbrück than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bersenbrück, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rotenburger - Bersenbrück Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Diop L. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Luhrmann M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North).

Rotenburger is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bersenbrück is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotenburger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bersenbrück will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rotenburger won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotenburger won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotenburger SV
German Oberliga Niedersachsen
28.04.24	Rotenburger - VfL Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
24.04.24	Rotenburger - Kickers Emden	0:6 ✺
20.04.24	Kickers Emden - Rotenburger	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Rotenburger - Eilvese	3:2 ✺
10.04.24	Heeslinger - Rotenburger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWT
- TuS Bersenbrück
German Oberliga Niedersachsen
27.04.24	Bersenbrück - Heeslinger	4:1 ✺
21.04.24	Lupo Martini Wolfsburg - Bersenbrück	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Bersenbrück - Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Schöningen - Bersenbrück	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Bersenbrück - Arminia Hannover	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niedersachsen
04.02.24	Bersenbrück - Rotenburger	3:0
30.04.23	Rotenburger - Bersenbrück	3:3
30.10.22	Bersenbrück - Rotenburger	1:1
21.11.21	Bersenbrück - Rotenburger	2:2
17.10.20	Rotenburger - Bersenbrück	3:1

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