Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Rotlet Molinar		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.15	1.45
	25.00	12.88	1.00	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.44
	6.3	4.1	1.43
	5.5	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.61 ↑ (5.58)	5.83 ↑ (3.87)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotlet Molinar
10.3%

Draw
17%

Peña Deportiva
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.5%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.4%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotlet Molinar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotlet Molinar's form might have worsened.

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotlet Molinar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotlet Molinar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rotlet Molinar - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Rotlet Molinar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peña Deportiva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rotlet Molinar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peña Deportiva is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rotlet Molinar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rotlet Molinar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Rotlet Molinar - Portmany	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Constancia - Rotlet Molinar	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Collerense - Rotlet Molinar	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Rotlet Molinar - Santanyí	5:1 ✺
06.12.25	Son Cladera - Rotlet Molinar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.01.26	Son Cladera - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Collerense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Peña Deportiva - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Peña Deportiva - Alcúdia	5:1 ✺
06.12.25	Mallorca B - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.09.25	Peña Deportiva - Rotlet Molinar	2:1

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