Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rovato Vertovese		Pro Palazzolo

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.52	3	2.62
	2.53	3.14	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.7
	2.37	2.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	3 ↓ (3.3)	2.59 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rovato Vertovese
35.7%

Draw
29.8%

Pro Palazzolo
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

27.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.2%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rovato Vertovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Pro Palazzolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rovato Vertovese than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Rovato Vertovese - Pro Palazzolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rovato Vertovese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovato Vertovese
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.25	Rovato Vertovese - Imolese	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Rovato Vertovese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Rovato Vertovese - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Rovato Vertovese - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Rovato Vertovese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTL
- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.25	Tropical Coriano - Pro Palazzolo	3:3 ✺
14.12.25	Pro Palazzolo - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Crema - Pro Palazzolo	1:5 ✺
30.11.25	Pro Palazzolo - Trevigliese	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Pro Sesto - Pro Palazzolo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
07.09.25	Pro Palazzolo - Rovato Vertovese	0:2

Rovato Vertovese - Pro Palazzolo