Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Rovato Vertovese

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.15
	1.75	3.58	4.12	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.6)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	4.15 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
52%

Draw
26.2%

Rovato Vertovese
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Rovato Vertovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rovato Vertovese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Desenzano Calvina - Rovato Vertovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+19', 1 - 0, Brighenti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Desenzano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rovato Vertovese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Desenzano is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Desenzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWW
- Rovato Vertovese
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Rovato Vertovese - Crema	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tropical Coriano - Rovato Vertovese	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Rovato Vertovese - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pro Sesto - Rovato Vertovese	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Rovato Vertovese - Este	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLL

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