Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 21

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Rugenbergen		Süderelbe

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.5
	4.71	5	1.51
	4.71	5	1.52
	4.88	4.65	1.48
	4.75	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (4.16)	4.73 (4.73)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rugenbergen
19.3%

Draw
19.4%

Süderelbe
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

19.6%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

19%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rugenbergen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Süderelbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rugenbergen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Süderelbe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Zimmermann M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Koval A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Krasniqi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Komurcu C. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Haase P. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Heinbockel J. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rugenbergen won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Süderelbe is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Rugenbergen won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Rugenbergen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Rugenbergen
German Oberliga Hamburg
24.03.24	ETSV Hamburg - Rugenbergen	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Rugenbergen - TSV Buchholz 08	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Niendorfer - Rugenbergen	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Rugenbergen - Paloma Hamburg	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Dassendorf - Rugenbergen	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 LWTWL
- FC Süderelbe
German Oberliga Hamburg
24.03.24	Alsterbruder - Süderelbe	3:7 ✺
19.03.24	Süderelbe - Niendorfer	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Süderelbe - Sasel	3:3 ✺
03.03.24	Union Tornesch - Süderelbe	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Süderelbe - Wandsbeker Concordia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
18.08.23	Süderelbe - Rugenbergen	2:4
18.04.23	Rugenbergen - Süderelbe	2:2
03.03.23	Süderelbe - Rugenbergen	0:2
21.11.21	Rugenbergen - Süderelbe	1:0
04.09.21	Süderelbe - Rugenbergen	1:1
01.12.19	Rugenbergen - Süderelbe	2:2
02.08.19	Süderelbe - Rugenbergen	3:2

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