Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 27

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Süderelbe		Sasel

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.55
	2.36	3.85	2.52
	2.36	3.85	2.53
	2.23	3.88	2.5
	2.2	4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)	3.92 ↓ (4.2)	2.53 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Süderelbe
40.4%

Draw
23.4%

Sasel
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

19.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Süderelbe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sasel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Süderelbe than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sasel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Süderelbe won 1.

Recent matches Süderelbe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sasel has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sasel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Süderelbe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Süderelbe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Süderelbe
German Oberliga Hamburg
03.03.24	Union Tornesch - Süderelbe	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Süderelbe - Wandsbeker Concordia	2:3 ✺
18.02.24	TSV Buchholz 08 - Süderelbe	2:2 ✺
09.02.24	Süderelbe - Paloma Hamburg	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Süderelbe - Halstenbek-Rellingen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTTL
- TSV Sasel
German Oberliga Hamburg
09.03.24	Altona - Sasel	4:2 ✺
03.03.24	Sasel - Halstenbek-Rellingen	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	HEBC Hamburg - Sasel	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Sasel - Victoria Hamburg	1:5 ✺
04.02.24	Sasel - ETSV Hamburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
24.09.23	Sasel - Süderelbe	3:3
18.11.22	Süderelbe - Sasel	0:2
31.07.22	Sasel - Süderelbe	4:0
27.10.19	Sasel - Süderelbe	5:0
28.04.19	Sasel - Süderelbe	0:3
19.10.18	Süderelbe - Sasel	1:4
25.05.18	Sasel - Süderelbe	7:3

Süderelbe - Sasel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide