Match Info
Primus League - Round 24Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday
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Rukinzo |
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Le Messager de Ngozi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.78 |
3.25 |
4.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.52) |
3.25 ↓
(3.55) |
4.3 ↓
(6.4) |
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- The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rukinzo
51% | Draw
27.9% | Le Messager de Ngozi
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rukinzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rukinzo's form might have worsened.Le Messager de Ngozi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Messager de Ngozi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukinzo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rukinzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Messager de Ngozi than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Messager de Ngozi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukinzo won 2.Rukinzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Le Messager de Ngozi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, Rukinzo is the undisputed favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rukinzo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Rukinzo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Rukinzo | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:27 | 21 | 49 |
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| 13 | Le Messager Ngozi | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Burundi Premier League | | | 05.10.25 | Le Messager de Ngozi - Rukinzo | 0:1 | | 09.03.25 | Le Messager de Ngozi - Rukinzo | 1:2 | | 08.12.24 | Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi | 1:2 | | 26.09.20 | Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi | 1:1 | | 02.11.19 | Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi | 0:3 |
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