Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 10

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Poladi Stadium (Rustavi)

Referee: Kherkhadze I. (Geo)


	Rustavi		Dila Gori

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.98	2.28	Watch
	3.12	3.15	2.36
	3.09	3.02	2.31	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.09	2.92	2.3
	2.36	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)	2.98 ↓ (3.11)	2.38 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rustavi
31%

Draw
30.6%

Dila Gori
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rustavi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rustavi's form might have worsened.

Dila Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rustavi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Rustavi - Dila Gori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Beruashvili P. (G) 2. Andghuladze S. 24. Iakobidze I. 3. Patsatsia V. 19. Chikovani N. 22. Nakano Y. 13. Gujabidze A. (C) 40. Ubilava D. 10. Osei P. 11. Kessi S. 9. Jean	1. Kereselidze D. (G) 2. Kikabidze T. 33. Etou R. (C) 13. Joao Araujo 26. Tiboue J. 29. Olatunji A. 27. Tali A. 8. Menteshashvili L. 7. Fuller T. 9. Kante M. 22. Shekiladze S.
Substitutes
5. Ceijas K. 4. David Oliveira 7. Jackson Kenio 18. Japaridze N. 17. Jibril B. 27. Kapanadze M. 14. Kutateladze N. 6. Pami M. 35. Roland J. (G)	17. Anoff B. 6. Claude Kouakou 3. Compaore R. A. 11. Gotsiridze D. 14. Jalaghonia G. 23. Mali N. 10. Parulava O. 12. Sanikidze L. (G) 16. Sanyang M.
Coaches
Tsetsadze G.	Longo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Tali A. ↓, Anoff B. ↑,
32', Kante M. ↓, Parulava O. ↑,
32', Nakano Y. 🟨,
41', Osei P. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nakano Y. ↓, Ceijas K. ↑,
49', Gujabidze A. 🟨,
56', Tiboue J. 🟨,
69', Jean ↓, David Oliveira ↑,
74', Kikabidze T. ↓, Olatunji A. ↑,
74', Fuller T. ↓, Gotsiridze D. ↑,
75', 🟨,
82', Kessi S. ↓, Jibril B. ↑,
82', Gujabidze A. ↓, Pami M. ↑,
83', Jackson Kenio 🟨,
90', Anoff B. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Iakobidze I. ⚽, Ceijas K. (A),
90+1', Shekiladze S. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
90+4', Jibril B. 🟨,
90+6', Gotsiridze D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rustavi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rustavi	27	13	7	7	32:23	9	46
5	Dila Gori	27	12	4	11	38:30	8	40

Last Results with these Odds

Dila Gori - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
26.04.26	Rustavi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Rustavi	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Spaeri - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dila Gori - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Rustavi - Dinamo Batumi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTTWW
- Dila Gori
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
26.04.26	Spaeri - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Dila Gori - Dinamo Batumi	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dila Gori - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Dila Gori - Gagra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.04.26	Dila Gori - Rustavi	1:2
30.11.19	Rustavi - Dila Gori	2:2
14.09.19	Dila Gori - Rustavi	0:0
14.06.19	Rustavi - Dila Gori	2:1
20.04.19	Dila Gori - Rustavi	2:1
29.11.18	Rustavi - Dila Gori	0:0
23.09.18	Dila Gori - Rustavi	2:0

Rustavi - Dila Gori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide