Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Ruthin Town		Llay Welfare

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.6	4.8
	1.5	4.76	4.7
	1.53	4.82	4.89	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.1
	1.48	4.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 (1.49)	4.66 ↑ (4.62)	4.86 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruthin Town
61.4%

Draw
19.7%

Llay Welfare
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

19.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

13.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ruthin Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Llay Welfare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ruthin Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llay Welfare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ruthin Town - Llay Welfare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Jones S. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Jones S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Collo J. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Morris O. L. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ruthin Town is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Llay Welfare has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Llay Welfare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Llay Welfare have a series of home games.

In this match Ruthin Town is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ruthin Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
01.03.25	Ruthin Town - Colwyn Bay	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Prestatyn Town - Ruthin Town	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Ruthin Town - Flint Mountain	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Llandudno - Ruthin Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
01.03.25	Llay Welfare - Flint Mountain	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Llay Welfare - Gresford Athletic	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Llay Welfare - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Mold Alexandra - Llay Welfare	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Llay Welfare - Llandudno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
06.08.24	Llay Welfare - Ruthin Town	3:5

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