Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Llay Welfare		Buckley Town

	1	X	2
	5.4	5	1.4
	4.45	5.52	1.4
	5.47	5.51	1.43	Watch
	6.46	5.05	1.34
	5.4	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↓ (6.9)	5.22 ↓ (5.9)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llay Welfare
16.8%

Draw
17.5%

Buckley Town
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

15.7%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

15.1%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llay Welfare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Buckley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buckley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buckley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llay Welfare - Buckley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Moore M. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Collo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Knight B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Llay Welfare has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Buckley Town is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Buckley Town have a series of guest games.

In this match Buckley Town is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Llay Welfare won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
25.01.25	Mold Alexandra - Llay Welfare	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Llay Welfare - Llandudno	1:3 ✺
04.01.25	Llay Welfare - Bangor 1876	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Holywell Town - Llay Welfare	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Guilsfield - Llay Welfare	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL
- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
25.01.25	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	1:3 ✺
17.01.25	Colwyn Bay - Buckley Town	3:1 ✺
04.01.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Buckley Town	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
02.11.24	Buckley Town - Llay Welfare	3:0

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