Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Amahoro (Kigali)

Referee: Maarouf Eid M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Benin	Benin TV
Croatia	SportKlub 4
India	FanCode, FanCode
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Rwanda		Benin

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.75	Watch
	2.82	2.92	2.62
	3.05	2.98	2.49
	2.57	3.07	2.71	Watch
	2.77	2.97	2.67	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	2.65 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rwanda
33.3%

Draw
31.5%

Benin
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rwanda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Benin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	63.2%	15.8%

Rwanda - Benin Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rwanda will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Benin will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Benin (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Benin (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Benin (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ntwari F. (G) Kaizer Chiefs 14. Kavita P. Birmingham Legion 5. Mutsinzi A. Zira FK 17. Manzi T. Al Ahly Tripoli 2. Niyomugabo C. APR 15. Mugisha B. Al Masry 12. Mugisha G. APR 11. Muhire K. Rayon Sport 4. Bizimana D. (C) Al Ahly Tripoli 22. Kwizera J. Rhode Island 19. Nshuti I. Zarzis	1. Dandjinou M. (G) Loto 3. Ouorou T. Hatta 6. Verdon O. Ludogorets 13. Tijani M. Yverdon 5. Roche Y. Petrolul 15. D'Almeida S. Neftci Baku 19. Dodo D. Leixoes 8. Imourane H. Grasshoppers 20. Dossou J. 9. Mounie S. (C) Alanyaspor 17. Hountondji A. St. Pauli
Substitutes
7. Biramahire A. ES Setif 8. Byiringiro G. APR 16. Gitego A. FUS Rabat 9. Hamon A. Angouleme CFC 3. Imanishimwe E. AEL Limassol 10. Ishimwe A. Olympique Beja 23. Ishimwe P. (G) APR 21. Nkulikiyimana D. St. Liege 13. Nshimiyimana E. Gorilla 20. Ruboneka J. B. APR 18. Twizere C. (G) Ull/Kisa	7. Ahlinvi M. Arsenal Tula 16. Allagbe S. (G) Chauray 14. Amoussou R. ASEC Mimosas 2. Fassinou R. Coton FC 4. Hountondji C. Bandirmaspor 12. Kiki D. FCSB 21. Kossi Fiogbe R. Hassania Agadir 23. Obassa A. (G) Remo Stars 11. Rachidou R. 22. Samadou A. Smouha 18. Tessilimi O. SJK 10. Tosin A. Lorient
Coaches
Amrouche A.	Rohr G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Dodo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dossou J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
76', Kwizera J. ↓, Ruboneka J. B. ↑,
79', Dodo D. ↓, Rachidou R. ↑,
79', Hountondji A. ↓, Amoussou R. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Tosin A. ⚽, Amoussou R. (A),
83', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
89', Nshuti I. ↓, Biramahire A. ↑,
90+3', Mounie S. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
90+5', Roche Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rwanda won 1.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rwanda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rwanda
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Zimbabwe - Rwanda	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Nigeria - Rwanda	1:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.25	Algeria - Rwanda	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Algeria - Rwanda	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Rwanda - Lesotho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLT
- Benin
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Benin - Lesotho	4:0 ✺
05.09.25	Benin - Zimbabwe	1:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.25	Morocco - Benin	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Benin - South Africa	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Zimbabwe - Benin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Rwanda - Benin	2:1
11.10.24	Benin - Rwanda	3:0
FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Benin - Rwanda	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
29.03.23	Rwanda - Benin	1:1
22.03.23	Benin - Rwanda	1:1
FIFA World Cup
08.09.13	Benin - Rwanda	2:0
10.06.12	Rwanda - Benin	1:1

Rwanda - Benin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide