The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ryazan 35.6%
Draw 25.9%
Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
26.6%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
19.6%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryazan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Ryazan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Khimik-Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Khimik-Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ryazan won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Ryazan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
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