Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 25

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Rågsved		Smedby

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.70	3.60
	1.70	3.60	3.70
	1.69	3.77	3.92
	1.72	3.96	3.94	Watch
	1.67	3.70	3.85
	1.66	3.74	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	3.87 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rågsved
52.9%

Draw
23.9%

Smedby
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

24.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

22.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rågsved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rågsved than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Rågsved - Smedby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, ⚽,
76', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 7th).

Rågsved has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Smedby is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Smedby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Rågsved is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rågsved has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ragsved	26	13	6	7	53:42	11	45
7	Smedby	26	10	6	10	45:42	3	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rågsveds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
03.10.26	Eker Örebro - Rågsved	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Rågsved - Örebro Syrianska	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Nacka FC - Rågsved	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lindö - Rågsved	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Rågsved - Haninge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWW
- Smedby AIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
02.10.26	Smedby - Nyköping	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Haninge - Smedby	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Smedby - Fittja	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Farsta - Smedby	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nacka FC - Smedby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
09.05.26	Smedby - Rågsved	0:2
13.05.23	Smedby - Rågsved	3:1

Rågsved - Smedby