Match Info

Date: 18 March 2022, Friday


	Rélizane		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.1	1.41
	7.5	3.8	1.4
	6.8	4	1.41
	8.71	4.18	1.41
	8	3.8	1.4
	7.3	4.25	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.51 ↑ (5.51)	4.02 ↑ (3.37)	1.41 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rélizane
12.2%

Draw
22.7%

USM Alger
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

27.2%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

26.4%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rélizane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rélizane than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rélizane - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rélizane won 0.

Rélizane is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches USM Alger is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rélizane could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match USM Alger is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rélizane won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Rélizane won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Rélizane
Algerian Ligue 1
13.03.22	MC Alger - Rélizane	8:2 ✺
09.03.22	Rélizane - Saoura	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Rélizane - Biskra	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Tlemcen - Rélizane	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Rélizane - Paradou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTTL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
11.03.22	Biskra - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
05.03.22	USM Alger - Saoura	0:0 ✺
01.03.22	Arbaâ - USM Alger	2:0 ✺
25.02.22	USM Alger - Hussein Dey	1:0 ✺
07.02.22	USM Alger - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
25.11.21	USM Alger - Rélizane	3:1
27.06.21	Rélizane - USM Alger	2:4
16.01.21	USM Alger - Rélizane	3:1
25.03.17	Rélizane - USM Alger	2:0
27.08.16	USM Alger - Rélizane	6:0
01.04.16	Rélizane - USM Alger	3:0
24.10.15	USM Alger - Rélizane	2:2

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