Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade du 5 Juillet (Algiers)


	USM Alger		ES Sétif

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.6	3.4	5.9
	1.59	3.6	6.31
	1.61	3.45	6.26	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.55	3.44	6.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	3.42 (3.42)	5.97 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USM Alger
57.8%

Draw
26.8%

ES Sétif
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

27.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ES Sétif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

USM Alger - ES Sétif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Soufi K. (G) 28. Abada A. 5. Azzi I. 9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 13. Dehiri H. 6. Draoui Z. 27. Ghacha H. 20. Mahrouz R. 8. Merili I. 30. Tendeng A.	16. Saidi Z. (G) 9. Benlebna M. 4. Boubekeur I. 26. Boudechicha A. 10. Djahnit A. 8. Hamek M. 27. Hamidi K. 3. Naim A. 29. Salifu M. 11. Toual K. 20. Zerrouki M.
Substitutes
3. Atmania S. 25. Benbot O. (G) 14. Benzaza B. 26. Boulares O. 29. Kamagate D. 7. Khaldi A. 12. Loucif H. 4. Malone Junior C. 19. Radouani S.	22. Bekakchi I. 1. Bencheikh El Fegoun H. (G) 21. Benslimane H. 71. Bouguerri O. 17. Boukerma M. 54. Bouneqab A. A. 12. Derder A. 5. Douar Y. 19. Gnahoua D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Mahrouz R. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Dehiri H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

USM Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, USM Alger is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	USM Alger	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10
11	ES Setif	5	1	2	2	6:4	2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
15.03.26	Maniema Union - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.03.26	USM Alger - Constantine	0:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
04.03.26	USM Alger - Saoura	1:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
27.02.26	El Bayadh - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	USM Alger - Saoura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWTL
- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
06.03.26	ASO Chlef - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	ES Sétif - Mostaganem	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	ES Sétif - Rouissat	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Constantine - ES Sétif	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	ES Sétif - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
29.10.25	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:3
16.06.25	USM Alger - ES Sétif	1:0
21.12.24	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:1
19.03.24	USM Alger - ES Sétif	2:0
14.11.23	ES Sétif - USM Alger	2:1
08.04.23	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:0
03.12.22	USM Alger - ES Sétif	1:1

USM Alger - ES Sétif: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide