Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)


	Rīgas FS 2		Ogre United

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.05
	2.55	3.95	2.19
	2.61	4.19	2.14	Watch
	2.7	4.05	2.08
	2.55	3.95	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.67)	4.03 ↓ (4.33)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rīgas FS 2
34.9%

Draw
22.5%

Ogre United
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

21%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

22.5%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rīgas FS 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ogre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nerugals J. (C) 11. Gandzs L. 18. Jacenkovs R. 23. Jasaitis A. 10. Juhnevics A. 21. Konate F. 14. Majorovs I. 2. Poldseps R. 15. Rudens K. 8. Sedols D. 9. Vitinho	20. Biscuhis K. (G) 19. Jamonts K. 7. Kumakura K. (C) 4. Mamich D. 33. Marusii T. 16. Mashchenko V. 21. Salins D. 9. Silagailis H. 8. Skujins R. 22. Sprukulis K. 27. Veckagans M.
Substitutes
4. Ilenans K. 12. Kirjanovs D. (G) 22. Kirsanovs K. 5. Lusis R. 7. Markss R. 17. Purins K. 3. Putnins P. 20. Saulriets H.	88. Abramenko T. 96. Jekabsons J. 14. Juhnovics R. 10. Kalnins M. 70. Karklins K. 87. Kondratjevs A. 30. Penka R. 1. Perkons E. (G) 99. Unuigbeje E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Poldseps R. ⚽, Sedols D. (A),
34', Sedols D. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Konate F. ⚽, Gandzs L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sprukulis K. ↓, Kalnins M. ↑,
46', Jamonts K. ↓, Karklins K. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Konate F. ⚽, Gandzs L. (A),
60', Mashchenko V. ↓, Penka R. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Silagailis H. ⚽,
78', Silagailis H. ↓, Unuigbeje E. ↑,
78', Veckagans M. ↓, Jekabsons J. ↑,
80', Jasaitis A. ↓, Ilenans K. ↑,
83', Gandzs L. ↓, Kirsanovs K. ↑,
90', Majorovs I. ↓, Putnins P. ↑,
90', Sedols D. ↓, Purins K. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 3).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ogre United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, RFS 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, RFS 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
18.05.25	Rīgas FS 2 - JFK Ventspils	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Olaine - Rīgas FS 2	3:3 ✺
03.05.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Leevon PPK	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Skanstes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWW
- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
18.05.25	Smiltene - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Augšdaugavas - Ogre United	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Ogre United - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
18.04.25	Rēzekne - Ogre United	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	JFK Ventspils - Ogre United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
31.08.24	Ogre United - Rīgas FS 2	1:2
04.05.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Ogre United	5:0

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