Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sámano		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.5	1.65
	4.55	3.98	1.68
	5.25	3.85	1.58	Watch
	4.66	3.62	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↓ (5)	3.74 ↑ (3.33)	1.66 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
19.5%

Draw
24.8%

Deportivo A Coruña B
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

27.2%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

24.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo A Coruña B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
23', 0 - 1, Nsongo B. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Najera M. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Najera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 4, Garrido J. ⚽,
70', 🟥,
79', Mendez P. 🟨,
83', 0 - 5, Hermo M. ⚽,
90', Abad A. 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Deportivo B is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Burgos Promesas - Sámano	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sámano - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Sámano - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Real Ávila - Sámano	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Sámano - Valladolid B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLLW
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	UD Ourense - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lealtad - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Langreo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLTW

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