Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Sámano		Naval Reinosa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.08	3	3.44
	2.08	3	3.44
	2.07	3.08	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.4 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
43.7%

Draw
29.7%

Naval Reinosa
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Naval Reinosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naval Reinosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naval Reinosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, Larrea J. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

Sámano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Naval Reinosa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sámano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sámano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.03.24	Castro - Sámano	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sámano - Atlético Albericia	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Velarde - Sámano	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Sámano - Laredo	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Sámano - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWTWW
- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.03.24	Naval Reinosa - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cartes - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Naval Reinosa	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Naval Reinosa - Escobedo	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Vimenor - Naval Reinosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	1:0
19.02.23	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	0:0
15.10.22	Sámano - Naval Reinosa	2:0
30.01.22	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	0:0
20.04.19	Naval Reinosa - Sámano	2:3

Sámano - Naval Reinosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide