Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Naval Reinosa		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.54	2.7	2.91
	2.54	2.7	2.91
	2.47	2.88	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.49)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval Reinosa
36%

Draw
32.6%

Guarnizo
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

32.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

33.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Naval Reinosa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', ⚽,
76', ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naval Reinosa won 4.

Naval Reinosa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Guarnizo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naval Reinosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Naval Reinosa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Naval Reinosa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	Cartes - Naval Reinosa	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Naval Reinosa	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Naval Reinosa - Escobedo	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Vimenor - Naval Reinosa	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Naval Reinosa - Torina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTTT
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	Guarnizo - Castro	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Guarnizo - Velarde	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Sámano - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Guarnizo - Laredo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
29.10.23	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	0:1
05.03.23	Naval Reinosa - Guarnizo	1:0
29.10.22	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	0:1
13.03.22	Naval Reinosa - Guarnizo	0:1
14.11.21	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	1:4
01.11.18	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	1:1

Naval Reinosa - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide