Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Scarascati T. (Bra)


	São Bernardo		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.09	3.15	3.75
	2.07	3.25	3.73
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.05	3.18	3.62
	2.04	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.27)	3.65 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
45.4%

Draw
29.2%

Portuguesa
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-5%)

São Bernardo - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 25. Pedro Carrerette 91. Alan Santos 4. Rafael Forster 7. Lucas Tocantins 8. Rodrigo Souza (C) 31. Lucas Lima 23. Wesley Dias 6. Arthur Henrique 11. Matheus Regis 99. Kayke	1. Thomazella (C) 2. Douglas Borel 4. Quintana Y. 15. Diogo Silva 6. Eduardo Diniz 8. Eduardo 5. Ze Ricardo 9. Chrigor 10. Giovanni Augusto 7. Ricardinho 11. Felipe Marques
Substitutes
26. Davi Gabriel 21. Hugo Sanchez 43. Joao Ramos 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 33. Kaua Jesus 14. Luiz Filipe 77. Matheus Martins 17. Romisson 88. Silvinho 10. Vitinho Mesquita 66. Vitor Ricardo	21. Denis 13. Gustavo Talles 19. Henrique Dourado 23. Leandro P. B. 17. Luccas Paraizo 24. Maceio 16. Marco Antonio 3. Patrick 12. Rafael Pascoal (G) 18. Renan Gorne 14. Robson 20. Taua Antunes
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Dado Cavalcanti

Preview

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Bernardo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

São Bernardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	3:3 ✺
01.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	São Bernardo - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	São Bernardo - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWTW
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.24	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	São Paulo - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Portuguesa - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Internacional de Limeira - Portuguesa	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.04.21	Portuguesa - São Bernardo	1:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.12.20	Portuguesa - São Bernardo	3:0
12.12.20	São Bernardo - Portuguesa	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.02.20	São Bernardo - Portuguesa	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
30.03.15	Portuguesa - São Bernardo	0:0

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