Match Info

Paulista - Round 7

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Marques D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Portuguesa		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6.25	Watch
	1.58	3.65	5.7
	1.58	3.81	6.11
	1.59	3.75	5.9	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.52	5.58
	1.58	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)	3.68 ↑ (3.18)	5.86 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
59%

Draw
25.2%

Ponte Preta
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

29%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

28.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Portuguesa - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portuguesa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Bertinato (G) 2. Joao Vitor 4. Eduardo Biazus 3. Gustavo Henrique 17. Caio Roque 20. Guilherme Dantas 10. Gabriel Pires (C) 7. Ewerthon 8. Ze Vitor 19. Maceio 21. Rene	12. Diogo Silva (C) 31. Bryan Borges 3. Lucas Cunha 33. David Braz 37. Kevyson 8. Nikolas Francisco 38. Tarik 35. Gustavo Telles 67. Elvis 70. Lucas Emanuel 7. Diego Tavares
Substitutes
39. Carlos Eduardo 11. Cauari 27. Denis 33. Eric Botteghin 6. Gustavo Salomao 42. Gustavo Sciencia 5. Hudson 13. Igor Torres 12. Joao Paulo (G) 91. Lohan 9. Matheus Cadorini 25. Matheus Cecchini	16. Jean Carlos 99. Joao Damiao 27. Juan Rodrigues 2. Julio 77. Kaio Ganga 11. Luis Phelipe 15. Machado R. 17. Miguel Morais 20. Mora D. 80. Pedrinho 5. Rodrigo Souza 1. Thiago Coelho (G)
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Fernandes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
32', Kevyson 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Gabriel Pires ⚽, Rene (A),
45+3', Joao Vitor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Joao Vitor ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
46', Nikolas Francisco ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
46', Lucas Emanuel ↓, Julio ↑,
51', Gustavo Telles ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Matheus Cadorini ⚽,
62', Ewerthon 🟨,
65', Ewerthon ↓, Gustavo Sciencia ↑,
65', Ze Vitor ↓, Denis ↑,
66', Elvis ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
79', Rene ↓, Cauari ↑,
82', Diego Tavares ↓, Joao Damiao ↑,
86', Maceio ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
90+2', Tarik 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1.

Recent performances by Portuguesa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ponte Preta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Portuguesa: Gustavo Salomao (Inactive) Lucas Hipolito (Inactive)

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos (Inactive) Joao Gabriel (Injury) Jonathan Cafu (Inactive) Lucas Justen (Inactive) Pacheco (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego M. L. (Inactive) Saimon (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.26	EC Primavera - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Portuguesa - Guarani	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Paulo - Portuguesa	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Portuguesa - Velo Clube	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Capivariano - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLWWL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.26	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Capivariano - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Ponte Preta - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0
31.01.24	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:2
01.02.15	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	2:3
Brazilian Serie B
17.10.14	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:3
15.07.14	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.12.13	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:2
04.09.13	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	2:1

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