Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 10

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	São José-SP		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.82	Watch
	2.4	2.94	3.06
	2.41	2.91	2.99	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.42	3.16	2.94	Watch
	2.37	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)	2.95 ↑ (2.93)	2.94 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São José-SP
38%

Draw
30.9%

Água Santa
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São José-SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

São José SP - Água Santa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Alan Stence ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Água Santa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, São José-SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São José-SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.26	Piracicaba - São José-SP	0:3 ✺
06.02.26	Taubaté - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	São José-SP - Internacional de Limeira	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	São Bento - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	São José-SP - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWT
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.26	Água Santa - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Água Santa - CA Juventus	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Santo André - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Internacional de Limeira - Água Santa	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Água Santa - Sertãozinho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	São José-SP - Água Santa	0:0
25.05.24	Água Santa - São José-SP	1:1

São José-SP - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide