Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	São-Joseense		Aimoré

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.25	5.25
	1.57	3.15	6.7
	1.57	3.15	6.41
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.58	3.5	5.95
	1.6	3.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.13)	3.31 ↓ (5.5)	5.89 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
57.2%

Draw
27.4%

Aimoré
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

16%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São-Joseense's performance.

Aimoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aimoré might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São-Joseense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (+26.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aimoré could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

São Joseense - Aimoré Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São-Joseense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aimoré will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

São-Joseense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aimoré is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São-Joseense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São-Joseense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Aimoré - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	São-Joseense - Camboriú	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Concórdia - São-Joseense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWT
- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Aimoré - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Concórdia - Aimoré	3:1 ✺
07.06.23	Aimoré - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Aimoré	2:2 ✺
28.05.23	Aimoré - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Aimoré - São-Joseense	1:0

São-Joseense - Aimoré