Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday


	Novo Hamburgo		São-Joseense

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.75	2.45
	2.8	2.55	2.7
	2.59	2.56	2.88
	2.49	2.97	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (4)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	2.73 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novo Hamburgo
33.6%

Draw
33.3%

São-Joseense
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

31.3%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

29.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novo Hamburgo's performance.

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São-Joseense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novo Hamburgo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São-Joseense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Novo Hamburgo - São Joseense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São-Joseense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Hamburgo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches São-Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São-Joseense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	1:2 ✺
04.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Aimoré - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Aimoré - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	São-Joseense - Camboriú	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Concórdia - São-Joseense	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	São-Joseense - Hercílio Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo	2:1

Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide