Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 10

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	São Paulo		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6.4
	1.44	4.09	7.43
	1.46	4.17	7.23
	1.48	4.02	6.98
	1.41	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.14 ↑ (3.75)	6.89 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
64.2%

Draw
22.4%

Fluminense
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

24.2%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

23.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for São Paulo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

São Paulo - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Carlinha (G) 7. Aline 23. Bia Menezes 2. Bruna Calderan 10. Camilinha 19. Crivelari 4. Day Silva 11. Dudinha 77. Isa 3. Kaka 8. Maressa	1. Claudia (G) 9. Chu Santos 33. Cotrim 3. Gislaine (C) 8. Karina 7. Lurdinha 4. Nath Rodrigues 17. Paloma 77. Raquel 10. Torre 16. Yasmin
Substitutes
1. Anna Bia (G) 25. Anny 16. Carol Gil 21. Day 6. Je Soares 5. Karla Alves 13. Leticia 95. Robinha 88. Serrana	31. Cacau 18. Camila Oliveira 5. Claudinha 15. Debora Sorriso 2. Isabela 20. Keke 21. Lele 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 30. Veronica

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bruna Calderan 🟥,
36', Crivelari ↓, Anny ↑,
40', Karina 🟨,
45+1', Isa 🟨,
45+4', Paloma 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karina ↓, Debora Sorriso ↑,
47', Yasmin 🟨,
49', Debora Sorriso 🟨,
57', Paloma ↓, Claudinha ↑,
57', Palomar E. ↓, Lele ↑,
62', Claudinha 🟨,
64', Isa ↓, Carol Gil ↑,
65', Camilinha ↓, Karla Alves ↑,
72', Chu Santos ↓, Veronica ↑,
73', Raquel ↓, Keke ↑,
80', 🟨,
89', Dudinha ↓, Serrana ↑,
90+3', Nath Rodrigues 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

São Paulo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fluminense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, São Paulo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.05.25	São Paulo - Santos	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
03.05.25	Palmeiras - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	São Paulo - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLTW
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	América Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Fluminense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio Women
23.04.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
20.04.25	Sport Recife - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
29.03.24	Fluminense - São Paulo	0:2

São Paulo - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide