Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 8

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.88	2.72
	2.58	2.91	2.77	Watch
	2.52	2.98	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
35.4%

Draw
31%

SB Castelo Branco
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Sacra ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Sacra (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 2, Stankov I. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3).

SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.10.25	Eléctrico - SC Lusitânia	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Mortágua - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	2:4 ✺
28.09.25	Os Marialvas - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	SC Lusitânia - Naval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - Lajense	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Eléctrico - SB Castelo Branco	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	SB Castelo Branco - Angrense	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.02.24	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	3:1
01.11.23	SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia	4:1

SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide