Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)


	1 Dezembro		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	6
	1.42	4.04	6.45
	1.56	3.63	5.85	Watch
	1.48	3.84	7.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	6.39 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
61.8%

Draw
23.9%

SB Castelo Branco
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Oliveira J. (G) 13. Bernardo J. 79. Cardoso D. 24. Edu 26. Freitas J. 31. Gaio P. 22. Graciano T. 17. Harramiz S. 85. Infante A. 33. Mane L. 55. Vito	1. Romana D. (C) 15. Celestino F. 4. Correia P. 21. Cruz J. 6. David Peres 19. Garcia O. 85. Gaspar N. 23. Isaias G. 2. Pedro Vieira 11. Sacra 16. Vagas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
112', 🟨,
120+1', 🟨,
120+1', 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

1 Dezembro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, 1 Dezembro has had a series of away games.

In this match, 1 Dezembro is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
12.10.25	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mafra - 1 Dezembro	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Peniche - 1 Dezembro	4:5 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWT
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - Lajense	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Eléctrico - SB Castelo Branco	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	SB Castelo Branco - Angrense	7:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Os Marialvas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	SB Castelo Branco - 1 Dezembro	1:2
04.12.22	1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco	0:1
15.05.16	1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco	0:3

1 Dezembro - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide