Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 2

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		Fatima

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.1	2.68
	2.58	3.15	2.69
	2.54	3.07	2.68	Watch
	2.44	3.04	2.67
	2.28	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
37.1%

Draw
29.4%

Fatima
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-3%)

SC Lusitânia - Fatima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of SC Lusitânia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fatima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	União da Serra - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Eléctrico - SC Lusitânia	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Mortágua - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	Naval - Fatima	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fatima - Mortágua	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Lajense - Fatima	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Samora Correia - Fatima	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Fatima - Peniche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWWW

SC Lusitânia - Fatima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide