Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	SC São Paulo		EC Guarani

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.25
	1.87	3.2	3.3
	1.84	3.35	3.6
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	2	3.22	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.38)	3.27 ↑ (3.24)	3.47 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC São Paulo
46.9%

Draw
27.4%

EC Guarani
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SC São Paulo's performance.

EC Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC São Paulo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SC São Paulo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Guarani than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

SC São Paulo - EC Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. SC São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). EC Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 7).

SC São Paulo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

EC Guarani has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

EC Guarani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SC São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams SC São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
29.05.22	SC São Paulo - Inter Santa Maria	2:2 ✺
21.05.22	Santa Cruz-RS - SC São Paulo	3:1 ✺
15.05.22	SC São Paulo - Lajeadense	0:0 ✺
07.05.22	Lajeadense - SC São Paulo	3:0 ✺
01.05.22	SC São Paulo - Santa Cruz-RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLT
- EC Guarani Venâncio Aires
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.06.22	EC Guarani - Avenida	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	EC Pelotas - EC Guarani	1:0 ✺
22.05.22	São Gabriel - EC Guarani	2:0
14.05.22	EC Guarani - Inter Santa Maria	1:3 ✺
08.05.22	Inter Santa Maria - EC Guarani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.04.22	EC Guarani - SC São Paulo	1:0
04.10.21	EC Guarani - SC São Paulo	1:0
22.08.21	SC São Paulo - EC Guarani	1:2
11.03.20	SC São Paulo - EC Guarani	3:1

SC São Paulo - EC Guarani