Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	SC Weiche-08		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.55	2.1
	2.86	3.75	2.13
	2.92	3.78	2.08
	2.8	3.6	2.08
	2.9	3.55	2.07
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.08)	3.64 ↓ (3.69)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Weiche-08
31.5%

Draw
24.9%

Phönix Lübeck
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

24.8%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

23.4%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Weiche-08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Weiche-08 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

SC Weiche 08 - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Maiolo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Dammeier M. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Cornils M. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SC Weiche-08 won 0.

SC Weiche-08 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Phönix Lübeck is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Phönix Lübeck may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Phönix Lübeck has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Phönix Lübeck holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, SC Weiche-08 has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SC Weiche-08 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:12 goals (averaging 1.2:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SC Weiche-08	12	9	1	2	36:14	22	28
5	Phonix Lubeck	11	7	2	2	30:9	21	23

Last Results with these Odds

Phönix Lübeck - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.39%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Weiche-08
German Regionalliga North
16.09.26	Schöningen - SC Weiche-08	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	SC Weiche-08 - Hamburger II	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Hannoverscher SC - SC Weiche-08	1:6 ✺
19.08.26	Werder Bremen II - SC Weiche-08	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	SC Weiche-08 - Jeddeloh	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
16.09.26	Phönix Lübeck - Todesfelde	9:0 ✺
12.09.26	Eimsbütteler - Phönix Lübeck	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Werder Bremen II - Phönix Lübeck	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Hannoverscher SC - Phönix Lübeck	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	St. Pauli II - Phönix Lübeck	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
08.11.25	Phönix Lübeck - SC Weiche-08	0:0
26.07.25	SC Weiche-08 - Phönix Lübeck	2:5
14.03.25	SC Weiche-08 - Phönix Lübeck	0:0
13.09.24	Phönix Lübeck - SC Weiche-08	2:1
06.04.24	Phönix Lübeck - SC Weiche-08	6:0
06.10.23	SC Weiche-08 - Phönix Lübeck	0:5
19.02.23	Phönix Lübeck - SC Weiche-08	0:1

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