Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	SD Logroñés		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.8	6.7
	1.47	3.95	7.12
	1.45	3.87	6.81	Watch
	1.44	3.84	7.9
	1.51	3.55	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	3.8 ↑ (3.55)	7.03 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
62.8%

Draw
24.1%

Alfaro
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

24.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

SD Logroñés - Alfaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Sanchez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 3.

Recent performances by SD Logroñés have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alfaro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SD Logroñés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, SD Logroñés is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, SD Logroñés won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Alavés B - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Basconia - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTWT
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Zaragoza B - Alfaro	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alfaro - Utebo	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gernika - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Alfaro - Basconia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Eibar B - Alfaro	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.03.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	4:1
20.10.24	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:4
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.09.18	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	1:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.09.17	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	2:0

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