Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5Date: 5 October 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub |
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 |
|
 |
|
|
Alfaro |
|
Utebo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.6 |
3 |
1.93 |
|
 |
3.65 |
3.1 |
1.92 |
|
 |
2.71 |
3.13 |
2.62 |
|
 |
1.42 |
3.86 |
8.39 |
 Watch |
 |
3.85 |
3.2 |
1.97 |
|
 |
3.65 |
3.1 |
1.92 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↓
(4.19) |
3.23 ↓
(3.7) |
3.13 ↑
(1.77) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alfaro
33.5% | Draw
32.7% | Utebo
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utebo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+20%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Alfaro - Utebo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Aguado A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Alfaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Utebo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Utebo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Utebo has had a series of home games. Utebo might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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