Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	SD Logroñés		DUX Internacional de Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.97	3.05	3.65
	1.95	3.23	3.9
	2.05	3	3.6
	1.93	3.32	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	3.6 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
46.4%

Draw
28.3%

DUX Internacional de Madrid
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

19%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

DUX Internacional de Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DUX Internacional de Madrid than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DUX Internacional de Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SD Logroñés - DUX Internacional de Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).

SD Logroñés is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches DUX Internacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.12.21	San Sebastian Reyes - SD Logroñés	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	SD Logroñés - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Arenteiro - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	Badajoz - SD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
21.11.21	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL
- DUX Internacional de Madrid
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.12.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
04.12.21	Talavera de la Reina - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Mancha Real - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.11.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Valladolid B - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLTT

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