Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	SKA Khabarovsk 2		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	3.75 ↓ (3.84)	4.32 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk 2
54.7%

Draw
24.2%

Zenit Penza
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

18.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Zenit Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk 2 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA Khabarovsk 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ulezko M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
51', 3 - 0, Borisov D. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Bekoev D. ⚽, (A),
90+1', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk 2 won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, SKA Khabarovsk 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25
13	SKA Khabarovsk 2	26	7	3	16	34:49	-15	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - SKA Khabarovsk 2	5:4 ✺
02.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Strogino Moskva	4:2 ✺
25.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Shumbrat Saransk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTLL
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volna Kovernino - Zenit Penza	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Zenit Penza - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
03.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:1
15.06.25	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1
25.08.24	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1
29.10.23	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:3
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
02.11.22	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	0:0
28.07.22	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:3

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