The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPAL U19 20.5%
Draw 22.4%
Atalanta U19 57.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
23.3%
53.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
23.4%
53.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Atalanta U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL U19 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U19 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
SPAL U19 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atalanta U19 is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
SPAL U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Atalanta U19 have a series of home games.
In this match Atalanta U19 is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches SPAL U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.