Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Sabadell B		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.6
	2.55	3.3	2.47
	2.24	3.27	2.74
	2.33	3.42	2.73	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.73
	2.55	3.3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.06)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	2.62 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell B
38.1%

Draw
27.3%

Tona
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell B's performance.

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell B than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sabadell B - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Roquet M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Utges J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Aparicio X. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sabadell B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Sabadell B	3:2 ✺
01.12.24	Sabadell B - Reus FC Reddis	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Sabadell B - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	San Cristóbal - Sabadell B	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Sabadell B - Girona B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWL
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
06.12.24	Tona - San Cristóbal	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Girona B - Tona	7:2 ✺
24.11.24	Tona - Grama	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Prat - Tona	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Tona - Manresa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW

Sabadell B - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide