Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Tona		Manresa

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.3
	2.19	2.92	3.33
	2.19	2.93	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)	2.92 ↓ (3.02)	3.32 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tona
41.7%

Draw
31%

Manresa
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

30.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Tona - Manresa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
36', 0 - 1, Ezzarfani M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Ezzarfani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Tona has had a series of away games.

Tona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	CE Europa B - Tona	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tona - Grama	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Can Vidalet - Tona	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Lleida - Tona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Ejea - Tona	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWL
- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Manresa - Lleida	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Vilanova - Manresa	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Manresa - LEscala	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Manresa - Mollerussa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.03.25	Manresa - Tona	1:1
10.11.24	Tona - Manresa	5:0
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Manresa - Tona	0:0

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