The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacachispas 36.6%
Draw 33.5%
Deportivo Español 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
32.5%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
33.4%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Español might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Español could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sacachispas - Deportivo Español Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Molina D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
51', 2 - 0, Molina D. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Durso F. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Yossini S. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Martinez E. H. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, Anriquez D. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 3, Cardozo G. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).
Sacachispas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Español's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sacachispas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sacachispas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacachispas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).