The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Victoriano Arenas 33.7%
Draw 36.2%
Deportivo Español 30%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.1%
32.7%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
33.3%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Español might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Español Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 1, Ronconi G. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
Deportivo Español is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoriano Arenas won 0.
Victoriano Arenas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo Español shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportivo Español may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Victoriano Arenas has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 0.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Victoriano Arenas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:7 goals (averaging 0.2:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Victoriano Arenas - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.07%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.