Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	SaiPa		Naft va Gaz Gachsaran

	1	X	2
	1.94	2.96	3.75
	1.91	3.00	4.46	Watch
	1.88	3.08	4.13
	1.9	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.75)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	4.09 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
47.6%

Draw
30.2%

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SaiPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

SaiPa - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: SaiPa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

SaiPa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naft Gachsaran is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, SaiPa is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
06.10.25	Mes Sungun - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
30.09.25	SaiPa - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Damash Gilan - SaiPa	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	SaiPa - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
10.09.25	Besat Kermanshah - SaiPa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWT
- Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
Iran Division 1
07.10.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Palayesh Naft	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:1 ✺
18.09.25	Sanat Naft - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
22.04.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - SaiPa	1:1
07.12.24	SaiPa - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0
05.06.24	SaiPa - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	2:1
12.12.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - SaiPa	2:3

SaiPa - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide