Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Nations League - League B - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday

Location: Daren Sammy Cricket Ground (Gros Islet)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	CBS, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co, Paramount+


	Saint Lucia		Saint Martin

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.33	Watch
	1.55	3.9	4.5
	1.53	4.5	5	Watch
	1.54	4.51	5.25
	1.5	4.62	4.89	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.28	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.22)	4.41 ↓ (5.5)	4.89 ↓ (9.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint Lucia
60.3%

Draw
20.9%

Saint Martin
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

16.5%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint Lucia's form might have worsened.

Saint Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint Martin's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Saint Lucia - Saint Martin Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint Lucia will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barclett V. (G) Cavalier 19. Myers A. Portmore 3. Thomas T. (C) Carlisle 2. Frederick K. W Connection 18. Alexander C. 22. Charles R. 8. Henville L. 12. Joseph L. Grenades 11. Stanislas R. Grenades 14. Poleon D. Ebbsfleet 10. Ginola Elva C. Erfurt	16. Raphose S. (G) Sannois 15. Laguerre S. 4. Dumas B. (C) Saint Priest 19. Fonrose F. Racing Luxembourg 8. Lacazette R. 3. Varsovie S. Saint Priest 11. Lebon K. Neftci Baku 18. Chevalier D. 20. Barakat S. 17. Leo J. Giannina 7. Arne P. US Castanet
Substitutes
13. Aman B. Hendon 15. Aurelien M. 23. Donaie D. (G) 6. Doxilly M. Portmore 5. Evans S. S. Chapelton 20. Jn Baptiste D. 16. Joseph-Johnson L. Bowers & Pitsea 21. Nelson S. 9. Noel Y. 4. Ribot S. 7. Sherman A. Grenades 17. Solomon-Davies J. Atherton Collieries	22. Chevalier I. 12. Denis R. 2. Fils Aime D. 23. Foy L. (G) 1. Luperon U. (G) 21. Marchal M. 13. Mauvais N. 9. Raga Rigobert A. Rumilly Vallieres 10. Vardin Y. Sannois

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Lebon K. (Pen),
21', Fonrose F. ↓, Marchal M. ↑,
26', 0 - 2, Barakat S. ⚽, Arne P. (A),
32', Barakat S. 🟨,
36', Henville L. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 3, Lebon K. ⚽, Leo J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Charles R. ↓, Aman B. ↑,
46', Henville L. ↓, Jn Baptiste D. ↑,
62', 0 - 4, Arne P. ⚽, Lebon K. (A),
63', Leo J. ↓, Raga Rigobert A. ↑,
63', Barakat S. ↓, Mauvais N. ↑,
65', Joseph L. ↓, Sherman A. ↑,
65', Poleon D. ↓, Noel Y. ↑,
67', Stanislas R. 🟨,
73', Dumas B. 🟨,
78', Thomas T. 🟨,
85', Lebon K. ↓, Denis R. ↑,
86', Arne P. ↓, Chevalier I. ↑,
88', Thomas T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Saint Lucia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Saint Lucia to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saint Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint Lucia
CONCACAF Nations League
11.10.24	Saint Martin - Saint Lucia	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Grenada - Saint Lucia	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Saint Lucia - Curaçao	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Saint Lucia - Aruba	2:2 ✺
06.06.24	Haiti - Saint Lucia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWWTL
- Saint Martin
CONCACAF Nations League
11.10.24	Saint Martin - Saint Lucia	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Curaçao - Saint Martin	4:0 ✺
06.09.24	Saint Martin - Grenada	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Bonaire - Saint Martin	0:4 ✺
16.10.23	Saint Martin - Anguilla	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
11.10.24	Saint Martin - Saint Lucia	1:2

Saint Lucia - Saint Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide