Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 5

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Victoire (Lubumbashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Saint-Éloi Lupopo		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.4	2.99	2.24
	3.4	2.99	2.27	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.25
	3.4	2.88	2.19	Watch
	3.33	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (4.31)	2.92 ↓ (3.55)	2.24 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Éloi Lupopo
27.6%

Draw
31.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.2%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Éloi Lupopo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Éloi Lupopo's performance.

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Saint Éloi Lupopo - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Saint-Éloi Lupopo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kabamba E. (G) 32. Mpeko I. 3. Nekadio J. 6. Douhadji J. 26. Mendy J. 24. Kambou D. 12. Kimputu M. 10. Mavungu J. 27. Mika M. (C) 5. Tukumbane J. 23. Molia E.	30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 20. Kekana G. 3. Ndamane K. 6. Modiba A. 27. Morena T. 4. Mokoena T. 8. Adams J. 10. Santos N. 9. Arthur Sales 38. Shalulile P.
Substitutes
16. Amongo B. 9. Djoumekou R. M. W. 28. Goumey A. 38. Kokeleya P. 8. Mambembe G. 30. Omossola S. (G) 4. Sumbu C. 21. Twite L. 40. Wanet R.	11. Allende M. 37. Johannes K. 12. Leon B. 29. Lunga D. 17. Matthews T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 13. Rayners I. 7. Reisinho M. 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Salmi Y.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Santos N. 🟨,
11', Molia E. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Molia E. ⚽, Tukumbane J. (A),
45+2', Tukumbane J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Shalulile P. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Adams J. ⚽, Modiba A. (A),
58', Arthur Sales 🟨,
63', Santos N. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
68', Mavungu J. ↓, Wanet R. ↑,
68', Mpeko I. ↓, Twite L. ↑,
68', Kimputu M. ↓, Sumbu C. ↑,
74', Mika M. ↓, Amongo B. ↑,
82', Adams J. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
82', Arthur Sales ↓, Rayners I. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Saint-Éloi Lupopo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saint-Éloi Lupopo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saint-Éloi Lupopo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint-Éloi Lupopo
CAF Champions League
01.02.26	MC Alger - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Saint-Éloi Lupopo - MC Alger	1:0 ✺
DR Congo Ligue 1
21.01.26	Saint-Éloi Lupopo - Saint-Luc	4:0 ✺
31.12.25	Saint-Luc - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Blessing - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Nedbank Cup
04.02.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Gomora United	2:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.01.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
27.01.26	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
23.01.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	2:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
19.01.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Orbit College	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
22.11.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	3:1

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