Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 2

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Saint-Étienne		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8	Watch
	1.47	4.33	6.25
	1.37	4.5	7.2	Watch
	1.41	5.2	8.02
	1.42	4.71	6.8	Watch
	1.36	5.1	7.65
	1.35	5	7.85	Watch
	1.38	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	4.74 ↑ (4.2)	7.37 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
67.5%

Draw
19.8%

Clermont
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Saint Étienne - Clermont Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 13. Ferreira J. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 18. Nair S. 23. Pedro K. 6. Bernauer M. 14. Csongvai A. 20. Boakye A. 10. Breum J. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 28. M'Bahia I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 4. Kabeya E. 12. Nsimba V. 19. Bouchenna M. 5. Grillot J. 2. Baallal A. 6. Kone E. H. 23. Hunou A. 90. Okou C.
Substitutes
32. Baallal A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 17. Duffus J. 37. Kasia N. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 9. Stassin L. 2. Stojkovic S. 16. Svetlin T.	44. Ackra A. 13. Astic J. 93. Coulibaly I. 17. Diop O. 11. Douane M. 15. Konate C. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 29. Saintorens A. 10. Sambia J.
Coaches
Cathro I.	Guion D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Ferreira J. ↓, Svetlin T. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Cardona I. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kone E. H. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
49', Breum J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Ballo T. ⚽,
59', Ballo T. ↓, Davitashvili Z. ↑,
64', Hunou A. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
64', Bouchenna M. ↓, Douane M. ↑,
68', M'Bahia I. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Breum J. ⚽, Csongvai A. (A),
72', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
74', Okou C. ↓, Saintorens A. ↑,
74', M'Bahia I. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
82', Boakye A. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
83', Bernauer M. ↓, Kasia N. ↑,
83', Nsimba V. ↓, Konate C. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Diop O. ⚽, Sambia J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Clermont has had a series of home games.

In this match, Saint-Étienne is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Eymard P. (Foot Injury) Jaber M. (Surgery) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Clermont: Bellache Y. (Inactive) Cantero E. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Svetlin T. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
08.08.26	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Venezia	4:3 ✺
29.07.26	Saint-Étienne - Lausanne-Sport	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Glasgow Rangers - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Servette - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
08.08.26	Clermont - Reims	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Clermont - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Clermont - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Clermont - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
15.07.26	Clermont - Bourges 18	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	1:0
13.09.25	Clermont - Saint-Étienne	1:2
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	1:1
French Ligue 1
13.02.22	Clermont - Saint-Étienne	1:2
07.11.21	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	3:2
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	2:3
13.07.19	Clermont - Saint-Étienne	1:1

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