Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 25

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii


	Sakaryaspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.98
	2.41	3.26	2.91	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.34	3.38	2.89	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
39%

Draw
28.6%

Ankaragücü
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	33.3%	6.7%

Sakaryaspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakaryaspor: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cipe I. (G) 2. Yavuz S. 4. Demirtas K. 33. N'Koulou N. 5. Uzun B. 36. Altiparmak B. 10. Aabid R. 66. Mamadou M. 95. Simon N. 94. Coban B. 11. Ozegovic O.	25. Ozbir E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 24. Aktas O. 4. Cetin M. 26. Schulz N. 88. Celik O. 22. Rotariu D. 21. Tekdemir M. 10. Rakoczy M. 3. Pehlivan I. 9. Bajic R.
Substitutes
17. Aksoy E. 7. Altintas E. 34. Cakir B. 12. Capar O. 14. Demir E. 22. Erturk M. 8. Kabov A. 21. Kakuta G. 77. Sismanoglu O. 90. Tekogul Y. (G)	19. Astanakulov S. 29. Cephas R. 5. Coelho D. 16. Cokcalis I. 1. Ersu E. (G) 40. Gultekin Y. 30. Kesik M. 7. Owusu 70. Tepecik E. 6. Turkmen C.
Coaches
Puren I.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Mamadou M. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
43', Bilazer H. ↓, Cokcalis I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pehlivan I. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
54', Rakoczy M. ↓, Owusu ↑,
55', Altiparmak B. 🟨,
55', Cephas R. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Bajic R. ⚽, Cephas R. (A),
61', 1 - 2, Owusu ⚽, Bajic R. (A),
64', Mamadou M. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
64', Aabid R. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
67', Ozegovic O. 🟨,
72', Simon N. ↓, Sismanoglu O. ↑,
78', Schulz N. 🟨,
82', Celik O. 🟨,
83', Celik O. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
83', Bajic R. ↓, Turkmen C. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Ozegovic O. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
89', Aktas O. 🟨,
89', Coban B. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
90+2', Gultekin Y. 🟨,
90+5', Turkmen C. 🟨,
90+6', Cephas R. 🟨,
90+9', Owusu 🟥,
90+10', Cetin M. 🟨,
90+11', Cipe I. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Sakaryaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ankaragücü has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sakaryaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
13.02.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sakaryaspor - Çorum	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Amed SK - Sakaryaspor	2:2 ✺
27.01.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTLW
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
13.02.25	Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
02.02.25	Umraniyespor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Ankaragücü - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
21.09.24	Ankaragücü - Sakaryaspor	2:1

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