Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Ankaragücü		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.3	3.7
	1.95	3.3	4.2
	1.93	3.3	4.41
	1.9	3.28	4.29	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.9
	1.88	3.25	4.39	Watch
	1.95	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.08)	4.18 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
49.2%

Draw
28.5%

Erzurumspor
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Ankaragücü - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ozbir E. (G) 16. Cokcalis I. 5. Coelho D. 21. Tekdemir M. 77. Bilazer H. 88. Celik O. 22. Rotariu D. 20. Saponara R. 23. Guneren A. K. 14. Varga K. 17. Dadashov R.	16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 2. Akbas M. 21. Roshi O. 25. Azubuike O. 8. Akgun S. 15. Giorbelidze G. 91. Teklic T. 10. Tozlu E. 11. Mamba S.
Substitutes
19. Astanakulov S. 9. Bajic R. 4. Cetin M. 91. CIhan G. (G) 11. Dalcio 40. Gultekin Y. 30. Kesik M. 3. Pehlivan I. 10. Rakoczy M. 6. Turkmen C.	4. Akkan G. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 9. Kilinc K. 3. Kirtay Y. 7. Koc S. 20. Ozhan F. 17. Sarikaya S. 18. Sert O. 88. Tasev T.
Coaches
Ozdes K.	Kutlu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Yumlu M. ⚽, Roshi O. (A),
39', Celik O. 🟨,
41', Celik O. ↓, Dalcio ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Rotariu D. ⚽, Saponara R. (A),
58', Teklic T. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
66', Guneren A. K. 🟨,
69', Dadashov R. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
69', Guneren A. K. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Tozlu E. ⚽, Mamba S. (A),
74', Mamba S. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
80', Cokcalis I. ↓, Pehlivan I. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', Roshi O. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
81', Akbas M. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Erzurumspor have a series of home games.

In this match Ankaragücü is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
17.01.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Amed SK - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Ankaragücü - Keçiörengücü	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Çorum - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
18.01.25	Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Erzurumspor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
05.01.25	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.08.24	Erzurumspor - Ankaragücü	1:0
27.02.22	Erzurumspor - Ankaragücü	0:1
03.10.21	Ankaragücü - Erzurumspor	2:1
Turkish Super League
31.01.21	Erzurumspor - Ankaragücü	1:0
13.09.20	Ankaragücü - Erzurumspor	1:2
24.02.19	Ankaragücü - Erzurumspor	2:1
21.09.18	Erzurumspor - Ankaragücü	0:1

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