Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Sakarya Atatürk Stadi (Adapazari)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)


	Sakaryaspor		Tuzlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.65	4.2	4.75
	1.53	4.15	5.5
	1.63	3.98	4.79
	1.57	3.8	4.8
	1.62	3.9	4.88
	1.62	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.91 ↓ (4.13)	4.83 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
57.4%

Draw
23.6%

Tuzlaspor
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Tuzlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 12. Donkor I. 33. Dikmen E. 6. Rotman R. 22. Onur S. 17. Akpinar M. 20. Kilic H. 45. Dimitrov Z. 28. Del Valle Y. 4. Kasongo K.	24. Koyuncu E. (G) 27. Asatekin S. 33. Akkan G. 3. Awuku P. 96. Giritlioglu C. 10. Akarslan M. 12. Ba M. 19. Ciftci H. 21. Umar A. 17. Mamba S. 28. Togui W.
Substitutes
61. Cevahir B. 13. Demir I. (G) 72. Erturk M. 19. Kilinc K. 8. Kurt S. 3. Menderes C. 9. Ndlovu D. 21. Roshi O. 27. Sanli B. 10. Suleyman B.	15. Aktas A. 5. Ay S. 77. Bas S. 22. Cinar Z. 42. Coskun M. 4. Hasanalizada B. 14. Kanicok A. 11. Kose A. 7. Stankovski L. 99. Yurt K. (G)
Coaches
Sanli T.	Sevgi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Kasongo K. 🟨,
29', Akarslan M. 🟨,
45+1', Dikmen E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Mamba S. ⚽, Ciftci H. (A),
60', Onur S. ↓, Suleyman B. ↑,
60', Dikmen E. ↓, Cevahir B. ↑,
73', Akpinar M. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
77', Umar A. ↓, Stankovski L. ↑,
77', Akarslan M. ↓, Bas S. ↑,
80', Yildirim O. ↓, Kurt S. ↑,
82', Mamba S. ↓, Hasanalizada B. ↑,
83', Stankovski L. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Bas S. ⚽, Stankovski L. (A),
90+7', Ciftci H. ↓, Aktas A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 15).

Sakaryaspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tuzlaspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakaryaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sakaryaspor is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
28.04.24	Giresunspor - Sakaryaspor	2:3 ✺
21.04.24	Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Sakaryaspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWL
- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
28.04.24	Tuzlaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Bandırmaspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Tuzlaspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Giresunspor - Tuzlaspor	0:3 ✺
03.04.24	Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.12.23	Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:3
28.01.23	Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor	2:3
29.08.22	Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.02.20	Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1
21.09.19	Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0

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